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In continuous production since 1987, the Prospects monthly newsletter is
Richard Cluver’s regular assessment of the likely outlook for the markets with
the JSE as the primary focus within a global investment scenario. It features
a concisely-written analysis of current events and their likely consequence
upon the markets in the short and long term. It is backed by detailed
statistical printouts from the ShareFinder 6 programme listing groups of ten
shares which, in respect of investors who seek either long term dividend or
capital growth, and similarly those who either seek superior growth at the
price of some risk or those who seek shares which offer secure growth with the
least possible risk. It also provides lists of unit trusts in terms of their
price performance over the past ten years.
With the expanded access that the new ShareFinder 6 programme is providing to
all the world’s top investment markets, we intend expanding the Prospects
coverage to a global investment stage. One of the most popular recent
additions to the newsletter, since January 2011 the Prospects monthly
newsletter has also contained the “Blue Chip Growth Portfolio:” This is a
dynamic exercise followed closely by the majority of our readers who regularly
contact us to express their delight in its performance. Within this portfolio,
we, each month, analyse the continued performance of the portfolio and provide
details of proposed additions to or subtractions from the ten-share portfolio.
If any share in the portfolio is deemed to be underperforming in terms of
compound average annual growth we provide an approximate selling price and a
predicted selling date. Similarly, if we have money to invest in the portfolio
either from profit-taking or accumulated dividends, we list one or two
potential acquisitions, detailing both our target price and likely buying
date. When, in each respect, our target prices are attained, these shares are
deemed to have been sold or bought into the portfolio at, in the case of
selling, the highest price attained during the month or, in the case of
buying, the lowest price attained during the month. Readers who follow the
portfolio closely are thus able to easily replicate the transactions
themselves at very similar prices.
In the first 30 months of its existence, the Prospects Portfolio achieved a
compound annual average price growth rate of 41 percent. With dividends
included the Total Return of the portfolio was 48.5 percent at the 30-month
mark. So far as we have been able to determine, the portfolio was the world’s
best performer in 2012.
Given the South African Government’s plethora of taxes that it levies upon
share market traders, short-term trading is no longer profitable in the long
term and we no longer recommend that our share selections be used for this
purpose. It is, however worthy of note that in the eight years starting in
September 1990 that we monitored these selections with trading in mind, we
were able to demonstrate a verifiable 137% per year compound average growth
rate in an average period of 21 weeks for its top monthly blue-chip share
selections. Only four of the 94 top monthly selections tracked during that
period proved to be loss-makers.
The Prospects investment newsletter is believed to be South Africa’s largest
private circulation newsletter of its type, concentrating particularly on the
blue-chip share market, golds and gilts. It is published 11 times a year.
Richard Cluver Predicts:
Subscribers to the Prospects Newsletter also receive a weekly column entitled Richard Cluver Predicts which every Friday when Richard Cluver is “in town”provides commentaries on the investment and economic scene. In addition, Richard makes eight weekly
predictions regarding the likely direction of eight leading markets. The accuracy of predictions is scored the following week which allows us to note that of the past 480 sets of eight predictions ( that is an actual 3840 market predictions) 82.04
percent have been correct. Furthermore, noting that the predictions are solely based upon the ShareFinder 6 market projections which employ a sophisticated form of artificial intelligence which has the unique ability to learn from any errors it makes
and thus become increasingly accurate over time, the Predictions accuracy rate has improved significantly over time. Thus over the 12 months ended October 30 2013, the accuracy rate had climbed to 89.26 percent.
The Investor March 2024
March 27, 2024
ShareFinder’s prediction for Wall Street for the next 3 months (top) and the JSE (bottom). If you have a friend who would like to receive this free publication, please send their name and e-mail address to support@rcis.co.za Gold is warning us! By Richard Cluver From a low of $2012.40 on January 25, the gold price […]
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The Investor February 2024
February 28, 2024
ShareFinder’s prediction for Wall Street for the next 3 months (top) and the JSE (bottom). If you have a friend who would like to receive this free publication, please send their name and e-mail address to support@rcis.co.za By Richard Cluver Writing in the Wall St Journal recently, journalist Juliet Chung made an interesting comparison between […]
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The Investor January 2024
January 31, 2024
ShareFinder’s prediction for Wall Street for the next 3 months(top) and the JSE (bottom): If you have a friend who would like to receive this free publication, please send their name and e-mail address to support@rcis.co.za ShareFinder Is less Optimistic By Richard Cluver I began last month’s issue with the comment that, almost alone in […]
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The Investor December 2023
December 20, 2023
ShareFinder’s prediction for Wall Street for the next 3 months(top) and the JSE (bottom): If you have a friend who would like to receive this free publication, please send their name and e-mail address to support@rcis.co.za ShareFinder Is Optimistic By Richard Cluver With more than 80 nations going to the polls in the New Year […]
Read More